Barter is the present and the future of international trade, especially for people who is starting in the import export business. Barter and more: Triangular operations.
The projection of the future by simple extrapolation of current trends is never safe.
The surprise is inevitable.
It is impossible to guess what will happen.
But the CNI expects a transformed world in 30 years, a world where any country, nor U.S. (although U.S probably remain much of its actual hard power, and soft power) neither China (close to overcome U.S economically) nor any other country, will get the world hegemony, due to four "megatrends":
1.- Growing power by individuals and rising global middle class.
2.- Diffusion of power from states to informal networks and coalitions as economic blocs
3.-Demographic changes due to urbanization, migration and aging.
4.-Growing demand of food, water and energy.
Further. Asia is the counterweight of the West.
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